Angela Merkel prepares for a fourth term difficult

Angela Merkel prepares for a fourth term

“The coalition of losers”: the formula is flourishing in Germany to designate the next government that Angela Merkel is preparing to lead. Because indeed, the Chancellor leaves weakened at the edge of his fourth and probably last term.
The alliance in principle concluded Friday by his conservative camp and the Social Democrats of the SPD after five days of negotiations opens the way towards the end of March to the constitution of what the country names a “grand coalition”, between the two largest parties in the country. “In fact of grand coalition, it is a mini-coalition because they represent only 53% of the voters” following the legislative elections, raises the German political scientist Karl-Rudolf Korte on the channel ZDF. A short majority.
In the previous Chamber of Deputies, the Christian Democrats of the CDU Angela Merkel, their Bavarian ally CSU, as well as the SPD still accounted for two-thirds of the seats.
But in September, traditional parties were punished. The Chancellor has certainly won the election but with one of the worst score since the war for its movement (33%), while the SPD fell to 20.5%.
In question: the irruption of the far right with nearly 13% and the return to the Parliament of the Liberal Party on a program right all.
– Losers –
The SPD had originally taken note of the “sanction” of voters against the previous “grand coalition” (2013-2017) by claiming to want a cure of opposition. Before resolving a flip-flop in front of the impossibility of forming a government in the country.
The opposition of the blow gives itself to heart joy. “The losers of the election have decided to meet again,” said one of the leaders of the radical left, Dietmar Bartsch.
The weekly Der Spiegel recently ironized about a “paleo-coalition” of dinosaur-like parties and rulers in a shaken national political landscape.
Conservatives and social democrats, supposed to present competing political offers, have already ruled together in eight of the last twelve years. And they are preparing to add four more, with the risk of further favoring the extreme right of the Alternative for Germany (AfD).
A continuation of this alliance “will give the AfD new successes in the upcoming regional elections” by allowing the party to campaign on the theme “white hat and white cap,” warns Saturday political scientist Werner Patzelt, in the daily Handelsblatt.
The three party presidents who negotiated the agreement Friday are all weakened internally.
– Zenith exceeded? –
That of the SPD Martin Schulz is in suspension since his debacle in the legislative elections. That of the Bavarian CSU, Horst Seehofer, also called for a ministerial portfolio in Berlin, has been marginalized in his party by a sling of opponents anxious about the push of the AfD.
As for the Chancellor, although no serious suitor for her succession has yet emerged, the internal debate on the post-Merkel has begun. Many executives of his movement call for a “rejuvenation” of management.
The German economy is in good shape but politically the Chancellor lost points after the refugee crisis. And the government vacuum in Germany since September has not helped her.
During this period, the French head of state Emmanuel Macron instead occupied the space on the European and international level with several diplomatic initiatives noticed.
“In terms of political initiatives on Europe, France is currently leading 10 to 0, we should not leave the score as is,” recently regretted the head of German diplomacy Sigmar Gabriel.
“If one observes its popularity (down, ed) and its aura in public opinion, we see that Angela Merkel has exceeded its zenith,” said political science professor Oskar Niedermayer.
Will she be able, under these conditions, to complete her new four-year term? “In the electoral interest of his party, it should not,” adds the political scientist, betting on an early departure after two years.
A majority of Germans share this view: 56% according to a survey published this week.

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