Pedro Castillo leads by nine points in voting intention to his rival Keiko Fujimori for the second round of the presidential elections in Peru, according to a new poll released this Sunday, five weeks before the vote.
The poll by the Ipsos pollster published in the Sunday program Fourth power god a 43% intention to vote for Castillo compared to 34% for Fujimori.
The distance between both candidates for the Presidency of Peru has been reduced by two percentage points compared to the previous Ipsos survey, held two weeks ago, between April 15 and 16, since Fujimori grew three points and Castillo increased one. Although the narrowing of the difference is within the margin of error, the Fujimori campaign considers it to be a trend signal.
“We take it with humility, with serenity. We see that finally the figures and trends begin to move, “Keiko Fujimori told the Sunday program Fourth power.
In addition, he highlighted that the study was conducted before saturday debate. “There is still a long way to go. It is important to make a call to the people who are joining us to continue helping us, “he said.
The increases of the two candidates come from the undecided, who have dropped to 10% and have preferred Fujimori to a greater extent than Castillo, especially among women, according to the president of Ipsos, Alfredo Torres.
Fujimori, moreover, has been trying to reduce his “anti-vote”, made up of citizens who affirm that under no circumstances would they vote for it. In the last weeks, dropped to 50% (from 55% in the previous poll), although it needs to keep reducing it to be competitive. In Castillo’s case, 36% of respondents answered their total opposition to the Peru Libre candidate.
The survey also showed that 36% of Peruvians want radical changes in the neoliberal economic model that was consolidated in Peru from the mandate of Alberto Fujimori, as promoted by Castillo, who claims the nationalization of the exploitation of natural resources. 54% prefer moderate changes and only 11% advocated continuity, which up to now has been raised by Keiko Fujimori, who seeks to reach the Presidency to vindicate the legacy of his father, whom he has promised to pardon the 25-year prison sentence he is serving for crimes against humanity.
Fujimori achieved a wide difference in Lima, with 51% of support compared to 29% who prefer Castillo, but the situation is reversed in the interior of the country: 51% would vote for the leftist leader compared to 25% who choose Fuerza Popular .
Polarization is even greater between socioeconomic sectors. In class A, with the highest incomes, support for Fujimori is 81%, compared to 11% for Castillo. In sector E, the lowest (and much more populous), support for Castillo is 60%, against 22% for Fujimori.
The survey was conducted on April 30 with 1,204 adults from the national scope of Peru, with a 2.8% margin of error.
The country, in recession due to the pandemic and politically unstable since 2016 – it had three presidents in five days in November – is now heading for a ballot between two candidates located in the antipodes and who together obtained only 32% of the votes in the first round.
More than 25 million Peruvians are summoned to the polls on June 6 to elect their next president for the period 2021-2026, who will take command on July 28, the 200th anniversary of Peru’s independence. .
(With information from EFE and AFP)