president Recep Tayyip Erdogan Since his election victory on June 24, he likes to speak of the “new Turkey”, which is finally taking shape. However, the past two weeks looked very much like “old Turkey”:
The government is on Sunday another 18,000 civil servants fired ,
Minister of the Interior Suleiman Soylu last made the left, pro-Kurdish party HDP for the terror of the banned Kurdish workers’ party PKK responsible and said, “You have no right to live, go wherever you want.”
Right-wing extremist Devlet Bahceli, Erdogan’s ally, has published a “blacklist” of the names of journalists he seeks to avenge.
Erdogan will be sworn in as president in Ankara on Monday afternoon. He announced on the same day the state of emergency, which since the failed coup attempt of 15 July 2016, shall be set aside. His authoritarian rule, he should rather expand rather than restrict.
In Video: Erdogan wins presidential election
Erdogan once set out to challenge the Turkish state. At the latest since June 24, he is himself the state. The citizens not only confirmed him in the elections with 52 percent of the votes in office, but also approved his controversial constitutional reform. In the new presidential system, which comes into force with the swearing-in of the new government, Erdogan is Head of State and Government at the same time , He decides on ministerial and judicial posts and can dissolve Parliament at will.
Erdogan will also introduce his deputies and ministers on Monday – and already hinted that there will be a series of new appointments. The president has rebuilt his country into a family business in recent years, and this is evidently continuing. His son-in-law, Energy Minister Berat Albayrak, who is acting as crown prince, may even rise further: he could become vice president in the new government.
Foreign Minister Mevlüt Cavusoglu, on the other hand, is fairly sure of his job and could be replaced by Erdogan’s spokesman Ibrahim Kalin. International diplomats face the possible change with mixed feelings: Although Kalin is clearly superior to the incumbent Cavusoglu intellectually, but at the same time also one Islamist who would represent Erdogan’s Turkey First doctrine unconditionally.
It remains unclear what becomes Deputy Prime Minister Mehmet Simsek, who was previously responsible for financial and economic issues. Simsek, before his political career among others for the investment bank Merrill Lynch active, is considered relatively moderate. He is one of the few Turkish government politicians who are valued by international investors. Erdogan, on the other hand, never completely trusted him. Should President Simsek be removed from the cabinet, this would further destabilize the already fragile Turkish economy.
For all its power, the circumstances of its success make Erdogan’s reign vulnerable to crises. He has his party, the ACP so abated that it was unable to maintain its majority in the parliamentary elections that took place at the same time as the presidential vote. He had to enter into an alliance with the far-right MHP, which surprisingly came to 11 percent in the elections.
MHP leader Bahceli and Erdogan fought each other out before forming a strategic partnership after the July 15, 2016 coup attempt. Bahceli helped the President to enforce the constitutional amendment. He was the one who brought new elections to the table in April. He will demand a return for his cooperation from now on. It is quite conceivable that Erdogan will appoint Bahceli as his deputy next to his son-in-law on Monday. And even if the MHP boss does not get a job, his party will have a say in government decisions.
For Europe, the handling of the Turkey will not get easier under the new government.