Expert: The CCP is digging for itself a pit the size of Australia | The CCP coerces Australia | Economic coercion | China-Australia relations

[Epoch Times, June 20, 2021](Epoch Times reporter Wu Wei comprehensive report) The CCP has been exerting economic and military pressure on Australia in an attempt to create a “killing chickens and attacking monkeys” around the world, but it has not only failed to achieve its expected goals , It also lost the trust of allies and neighboring countries, and contributed to the effect of other countries against the CCP.

Dr. John Lee was a senior national security adviser to the Australian Minister of Foreign Affairs. He is now a senior researcher at the Hudson Institute and an adjunct professor at the University of Sydney’s Center for American Studies. Recently, he published an article titled “The CCP is digging itself into a pit the size of Australia” in The Hill, telling that the CCP not only coerced Australia to fail, but also fell into the pit it dug.

Dr. Li first wrote that the CCP does not seem to care about the so-called “law of loopholes”: that is, if you find yourself in a trap, stop digging. A living case study is the series of economic coercion and series of insults taken by the CCP against Australia. Beijing’s malicious behavior proves that the Trump and Biden administrations are correct in determining that the CCP is the overall challenge of our time.

Michael Shoebridge, director of the Australian Strategic Policy Institute (ASPI) Defense Security Project, previously told that the CCP’s purpose of revenge against Australia is to send a message to the world that small countries should not have the courage. Go against the will of the CCP.

Dr. Li said that Australia is showing that smaller allies have their own unique features. It is not easy for the CCP to completely coerce this democratic country into submission.

“This dispute may continue for some time, but Australia is determined to stand firm and will not hesitate to face the difficulties. Beijing seems to be ready to target other countries, and for the United States, how can it help these allies to strengthen their confidence in fighting the CCP? Is crucial,” he said.

China’s economic coercion of Australia has little effect

Since 2010, the CCP has carried out at least 150 economic coercive acts against some countries and companies, more than half of which occurred in the past two years. Dr. Li’s article explains why the CCP is eyeing Australia.

He wrote that Australia is an easy target to pick. This country is heavily dependent on the export of minerals, energy and agricultural products. For every dollar of goods Australia exports, more than one-third is exported to China. From a trade perspective, this makes Australia the most advanced economy in the world that relies on the Chinese market.

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The CCP’s economic measures to sanction Australia, such as the ban on Australian coal, have achieved counterproductive effects in many ways. The CCP chose to ban Australian coal from entering China while the mainland was experiencing the coldest winter in 50 years. As a result, power supply shortages occurred in many parts of China, and some Chinese residents lost heat when the weather was freezing. Australian coal companies quickly adjusted after the initial setbacks in exports, replacing China with the Japanese and Indian markets.

In the past year, the sales of barley that should have been exported to China have successfully developed markets in Saudi Arabia and other Middle East regions. Lobster and wine are still struggling to find new markets.

According to data released by the Australian Bureau of Statistics in June this year, both gross domestic product (GDP) and exports increased in the first quarter. On the other hand, the CCP wants to use a series of trade penalties to coerce Australia to change its tough attitude in criticizing it, with little effect.

Dr. Li also compared the CCP’s coercion method against Australia, which is very different from the previous sanctions and coercion imposed on economies such as Japan, South Korea, the Philippines, Canada, and the United Kingdom.

He wrote that although there is no doubt that the previous sanctions and coercion (such as increasing tariffs) are the CCP’s response to these countries’ violations of the CCP’s government’s wishes, the CCP often denies the decisions of these countries’ governments (causing the CCP’s displeasure) and the CCP’s sanctions. There is any connection with coercion, leaving some room for mediation. For example, the Chinese government claims that the restrictions on the export of rare earths from China are for environmental protection reasons to reduce the domestic processing and production of rare earths; the boycott of South Korean companies, the CCP says it was initiated by angry Chinese citizens, not by the regime. .

“This disguise allows the CCP government to shirk responsibility to a certain extent. Even if it is difficult to be convincing, it can at least prevent countries sanctioned by the CCP from obtaining an opportunity to ruling against the CCP through the arbitration mechanism of the World Trade Organization. Sanctions or The coercion of non-governmental organizations or companies has increased the arbitrariness of the CCP’s coercion, and brought a great sense of anxiety to the governments of these target countries.” He said.

The article writes that the CCP’s sanctions and coercion have been defended by pro-CCP people as unable to prove that it is directed at the government of a certain country. This allows pro-China lobby groups in the target country to accuse their government of the relationship between the government and the CCP. Mishandled. Without international arbitration to confirm that the CCP’s sanctions are illegal, it is even harder for other countries to condemn the CCP’s actions. This will only encourage other countries to stay out of the matter as much as possible and fight less against the CCP, lest they suffer the same treatment.

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In his article, Dr. Li explained the difference between the CCP’s coercion of Australia: Beijing has changed the rules of the game with the recent sanctions against Australia. High-ranking officials of the Chinese Communist Party have already sent out threat signals before imposing many economic sanctions. The Chinese Embassy in Canberra even made an extraordinary move in November last year, issuing a statement against the Australian government’s “14 dissatisfaction” as a reason for these sanctions, including dissatisfaction with the Australian government’s criticism. The CCP’s provocative actions in the South China Sea and the threat of force against Taiwan.

Most of the Chinese Communist Party’s dissatisfaction involves Australia’s domestic policies and legislation, such as the decision to restrict foreign investment and prohibiting Huawei from participating in the construction of Australia’s 5G system. Dr. Li said that this confirms that the CCP is retaliating against Australia because the Australian government refuses to give the CCP the power to participate in or veto Australia’s domestic policies. It also eliminates the misconception that many people mistakenly believe that repairing relations with Communist China requires only Australia. Allow the CCP to do what it wants to do in the strategic surrounding areas of Australia.

Beijing now finds itself in trouble

Beijing now finds itself in a difficult position. Dr. Li said that an important means of the CCP’s international strategy is to weaken the strength of the US alliance by forcing smaller allies (of the United States) to adopt a more tolerant policy towards the CCP. The real threat of the CCP has been exposed to the world, and Australia’s politicians, business and social elites, and the people’s determination to resist Beijing has been strengthened. This means that Australia is ready to confront the CCP psychologically and politically. Possible dilemma. The CCP’s goal of coercion fell through.

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Su Ziyun, Director of Military Strategy and Industry of the National Academy of Defense Security of Taiwan, said that the effect of the CCP’s launch of a trade war with Australia is contrary to the past experience in international relations and international trade order. It presents a new trend of democratic countries supporting each other and strengthening procurement from Australia. .

After months of negotiations, Australian Prime Minister Morrison and British Prime Minister Johnson reached a principled agreement on a free trade agreement between the two countries after the G7 summit.

The Australian News Network on the 9th reported that this is the first major trade agreement after Brexit, and Australian exporters can also get more export channels through this agreement and get rid of the unstable Chinese mainland market. The agreement is expected to bring Australia 1.3 billion Australian dollars in economic benefits each year.

The Institute of Southeast Asian Studies (ISEAS), a think tank, conducted a survey of 1032 scholars, policymakers, business people, civil society leaders, media, and regional and international organizations from 10 ASEAN member states in February this year. ) Worries are increasing. The total population of these countries is 655.5 million people.

The latest survey shows that if it is necessary to choose a side station between China and the United States, more than 60% of respondents will choose the United States instead of China. Compared with last year’s survey, the number of respondents supporting the United States has increased by nearly 10%. Respondents from countries such as Thailand, Indonesia, Vietnam, Malaysia, Cambodia, and the Philippines have all increased their support for the United States.

At the end of the article, Dr. Li emphasized that this is why the U.S. not only needs to stand on Australia’s side, but also shows that if other allies are bullied, the U.S. will also support them. Doing so will make Beijing more toss and the CCP The deeper you fall into the pit you dug.

Editor in charge: Lin Yan#