Fear in the last days of the campaign as voters prepare for a verdict on Trumpism

Fear in the last days of the campaign as voters prepare for a verdict on Trumpism

Two years of political volatility will peak on Tuesday as voters make their national ruling for the first time since the impressive elections in 2016, whether Trumpism is a historical anomaly or a mirror of modern America.

As the midterms roared into their final weekend – the biggest names of both parties called for their supporters to vote – uncertainty encompassed competition amid the signs that streamlining aimed at dramatic goals.

How many parliamentary seats the Democrats could take – they need a net profit of 23 to win the majority – remained unclear. Republicans are favored to retain control of the Senate, but enough top races from Florida through Nevada to Tennessee and Missouri were so close that the outcome was in question. And with two closely watched governors' contests, with African-American Democrats wanting to write history in Georgia and Florida, it seemed like the competitions were getting out of hand.

Much is at stake.

Tuesday marks the first test of whether the outpouring of liberal energy – visible during the women's march – in the sea of ​​pink hats as well as the record number of female candidates, protesters arriving at airports after the Muslim travel ban, and activists surrounding the " Resistance "- can be transformed into votes for a dreaded Democratic Party. It will also show if Trump can mobilize his army of supporters – the "silent majority," as he called it in 2016 – to vote for other Republicans if his name is not on the ballot.

The result will set the tone for the next big fight, the presidential race of 2020, with Trump testing his messages, and a likely crowded field of Democrats searching the countryside for clues as to how the president is being challenged.

The fear and the energy are felt on both sides.

Trump ended the campaign with racist-charged warnings of an "invasion" of migrants, saying to rejoicing supporters in Indiana that the country would decide whether "we let the radical Democrats take control of Congress and put a huge destructive ball in our economy and ours Bring the world. " Future."

Former President Barack Obama, who emerged as an aggressive Democrat activist in recent days of the campaign, told Miami supporters that our country's character was "in tune".

A sense of foreboding has now spread to many Democrats who want to believe the experts who claim their party has an advantage in the fight for the house, but remember the pain of their inappropriate optimism two years ago. They are tormented by the failure in 2016 not to get enough black, Hispanic and young voters out – and they can not figure out how they will feel about their country when Trump-led GOP prevails again.

"It all started in 2016. I sat there and cried that night," said Stacee Wilhite, a 41-year-old housewife who was involved in politics for the first time this year and fought for a Democratic candidate in the north of Los Angeles. "We tell ourselves, 'We can not stop. We have to keep pushing. Just look at what happened in 2016. "We could lose a place. That makes us so nervous. "

The intensity on both sides showed in the upswing of the early polls. According to Michael McDonald, an associate professor at the University of Florida, who monitors early voting, more than 33 million early votes were cast, outstripping the 2014 interim votes and in some places approaching the president.

Add to that the seething, raw emotions that persist after an outbreak of seemingly politically motivated violence. First, there were a series of mail bombs sent by a supporter of the President to Trump's critics. Then came the massacre of eleven Jews in a Pittsburgh synagogue, allegedly by an anti-Semitic gunman who had spoken out on the same caravan of Central American refugees who drew the wrath of Trump and his allies.

Many Democrats have argued that Trump's response to these tragedies – fueling further anxiety and attempting to display ads that CNN found too racist to be shown on television – helped them to gain GOP suburbanite exactly how Trump built a new coalition in 2016, usurping working-class voters who have been loyal Democrats for a generation.

If the Republicans see big losses and lose control of one or both chambers of Congress, Trump may be forced to recalibrate the Democrats and give them a chance to jump-subpoena, initiate investigations and possibly initiate impeachment.

If the Republicans stay in control, their victory could reinforce Trump's vision of the country and encourage him to pursue his immigration policy, enforce investigations against Special Prosecutor Robert S. Mueller III, and renew efforts to lift the Affordable Care Act ,

"Handing over the keys to our government for the Democrats in four days would be no different than handing over games to an arsonist," said an e-mail from the Friday's Republican National Committee. "They have the full power to initiate an investigation that they initiate against anyone they want and without any evidence they want."

Trump, who has plunged into the election campaign with an unusual intensity for presidents in the middle of the time, is trying to do what President Obama did not do in the 2010 and 2014 elections: motivating the legions of supporters who supported vote him for the president in the midterm elections for other Democrats.

"No one has thought the Middle Ages was such a big deal for years – years," said Trump at a rally on Thursday in Columbia (Mo.). "You know, you hear" nuances ", it's as if we're going to sleep, right? This year, we're breaking every single record for the halftime."

Trump's "Make America Great Again" rallies are reportedly being staged to support local Republican candidates such as the US Senate, House, and Governorships, but Trump's focus was largely on himself-sounding more like a re-election candidate than himself a substitute for others. He talks for an hour or more at each stop about what he calls a record breaker and what he calls "the biggest political movement in American history."

At a rally last week in Estero, Florida, Trump elected two congressmen from the region for reelection, Francis Rooney and Matt Gaetz. However, he did not say anything to announce their records in Congress for Floridians, and praised each one instead for the cable television scares that Trump had suffered for them.

"So good to me on TV," said Trump of Rooney. "I love it when he defends me."

The Tuesday elections will also help answer the question of whether Trump's movement is permanent, broad and transferable – or whether she, like so many others, is unique to him.

Many incumbents who fight for suburban seats are staying away from the president because he is so poisonous in their districts, while some Senate candidates in Red States are posing as mini-trumps.

Consider the contrast between two Republican Senate challengers who applied with Trump last week. In Florida, a multi-year swing state, Governor Rick Scott has acted cautiously in dealing with the president when he ran for the Senate. Scott has performed with Trump mainly at official events, such as the President's visit last month to review hurricane damage in the Florida Panhandle, but Scott took a gamble and hugged Trump on stage at the Wednesday rally in Estero. Moments later, however, Trump ranted about the right to birthright and suggested that "criminals" and "drug dealers" would use the constitutional right of US-born children regardless of their immigrant status of their parents, which is Scott's appeal to Latino Voter complicated.

The next night in Missouri, a state that Trump won 19 percentage points in 2016, Senate candidate Josh Hawley gushed in his worship before Trump and praised the President's notes on border security, taxes, and nominations. "Because of Donald Trump's leadership on November 6, we'll have Claire McCaskill fired!" Hawley said, handing the console to Trump.

If Democrats succeed on Tuesday, it could be a day of the first.

This year, more women than ever before run for Congressional seats.

For the first time more than 120 candidates run for office.

Democrats have candidates who could become the first Muslim woman, the first Palestinian American, the first Native American in Congress.

The 29-year-old Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is ready to become the youngest person ever elected to the congress. Stacey Abrams in Georgia may become the country's first black governor, while Andrew Gillum in Florida may be the first African-American governor.

Democratic governor candidate Jared Polis in Colorado could be the first openly gay governor.

The challenge for the Republicans is evident in voters like Donald Burch, a 68-year-old salesman who attended the Trump rally in Indianapolis on Friday night.

"I'm pretty happy because he kept his promises that he made while walking and he's ready to get up and be counted," Burch said. "You can not argue with his results."

But even as he stood in a bad line to attend Trump's rally, he would not publicly pledge to vote for Republican senatorial candidate Mike Braun. Burch said he was considering voting for the re-election of Senator Joe Donnelly (D-Ind.) Because he "without a doubt" provides for better government if one party holds the presidency and another controls the congress.

"No power can go unchecked," Burch said.

Some GOP allies are concerned that Congressional Republicans have failed to adequately implement the policy Trump won in 2016. They failed to lift the Affordable Care Act – and now many have a promise to receive the most popular provision, which ensures health insurance coverage for those with pre-existing conditions.

They passed a tax reduction bill, which many had initially advocated, but which could cost republican seats in suburban areas because it limited real estate tax levies popular in upper middle class enclaves. The Republicans continued to talk about harsh immigration proposals, even though they could not pass laws, even though they controlled all power levers.

"If I asked you right now about Trump's slogan, you could tell me," said John McLaughlin, a Republican adviser who was campaigning for Trump for 2016. "What's the Republican slogan for Tuesday? What is your message for Tuesday? There is no message. People agree for a reason. You need a reason. "

"At the moment, the president is the only one with a message. The president only keeps them in the game, "he added. "We should do better, but unfortunately we have not met most of the President's plans. We did not suspend health care, we did not build the wall. , , , If we do not win the house, it's because we did not do enough. "

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