The Europa League continues on Thursday with Chelsea and Arsenal in action. Tom Carnduff has the best bets at 5/1, 6/1, 9/1 and 11/1.
BATE against Chelsea
Borisov Arena, Group L, 1755 GMT, BT Sport 2
Willian kicks one corner for Chelsea against BATE Borisov
The win secured first place in Group L and a place in the first knockout round for Chelsea, and they should score three points with BATE Borisov.
Maurizio Sarris men have won three out of three wins in this competition so far. Borisov may be at the bottom of the group, but PAOK's clash with Vidi means they still have hopes of jumping into the last group games.
Chelsea looked comfortable in the 3-1 win over BATE in the encounter two weeks ago, with Ruben Loftus-Cheek as the star when he took a hat-trick.
A common theme at Chelsea's Europa League games, in addition to winning, is that they have plenty of chances to score. In their first opening win at PAOK, 22 shots were in their favor, with this number standing at 28 against Vidi and 23 in this victory over their opponents on Thursday.
Every single Chelsea player who had started scored a goal in a 3-1 win, including Callum Hudson-Odoi and Victor Moses, who came off the bench in the second half.
It is expected that a similar number of shots can be expected here, with the forward and midfield as the main threat. I like the look of the statistics markets here, especially the value in the backing shots that are on the track record.
Loftus-Cheek scored five goals against BATE, while Chelsea strikers have contributed 20 shots in three group matches (Alvaro Morata started against PAOK and Vidi, Olivier Giroud against Borisov).
Giroud may have been calm in his first start in the competition, but his two-goal scoreline in nine minutes after leaving the bench at PAOK underscores he's not afraid to score in Europe.
It's always difficult to find good prizes in a game where one side has strong 2/5 favorites, but the market for punches is definitely worth investigating to find the best bet.
Best bet: Olivier Giroud and Ruben Loftus-Cheek 4+ punches each at 6/1
Olivier Giroud and Marcos Alonso celebrate the victory at PAOK
- Chelsea defeated BATE Borisov 3-1 at the first meeting between the two teams on Matchday 1.
- BATE Borisov has lost four of his five matches with English clubs (W1). All games took place in the group stage of the Europa League.
- BATE have scored only two wins in the last 15 Europa League matches (D5 L8), scoring 13 goals and conceding 33 goals.
- Chelsea have now won six games in a row in the Europa League since losing to Rubin Kazan in April 2013 2-3.
- Chelsea have had the most shots in the competition (73) and face fewer than any other team (15).
Arsenal against Sporting
Emirates Stadium, Group E, 2000 GMT, BT Sport 2
Arsenal celebrates after a goal against Qarabag
Arsenal, like its London rivals, have three wins out of three and have been able to extend their lead at the top with yet another victory over Sporting.
The Gunners made it last time in Portugal with a 1-0 away win. They are confident that they will earn more points at home.
The men of Unai Emery have completed an extraordinary series of 14 games in all competitions and welcome a sporting team with two defeats in the last five games on the road.
The strength of Arsenal in the assault is underlined by the fact that Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang and Alexandre Lacazette will be able to find the net at all times on Thursday night, with the boy Eddie Nketiah having a general prize of 5/4.
Sporting is looking for a new coach after a bad start to the season. Jose Perseiro was dismissed after GD Estoril Praia was beaten at home in the Portuguese Cup competition.
Tiago Fernandes was temporarily hired while looking for a new manager. It is interesting to see how he started Lumor Agbenyenu this weekend with their win over Santa Clara, a player who was not even in the NOS or Europa League this season.
That might indicate that he is here to start, and in a massive 9: 1 it makes sense to support him to get a card against a talented Arsenal attack.
The rumor is likely tackled by an attack on the talented Henrikh Mkhitaryan, while Stephan Lichtsteiner is the most feared player of Arsenal in the Europa League and he can win them in attacking positions.
I would be happy to make a card available at a 5: 1 price. Given the lack of playing time before the change of manager, there is a high probability that the bet will be void if it does not start in the north of London.
Best bid: Lumor Agbenyenu will be shown a card at 9/1
Danny Welbeck celebrates
- Arsenal are unbeaten in their three encounters with Sporting CP (W2 D1), with no goals conceded in these games.
- Sporting have lost all of their last four encounters with an English opponent since joining Manchester City last year in the Europa League.
- Arsenal have won each of their last three games in major European competitions – since March, between November and November 2005, they have not won six such games in a row.
- Sporting have scored only four wins from their last 27 away games in major European competitions (D4 L19), with one of these victories most recently played by Vorskla Poltava.
- Danny Welbeck has scored more goals in the Europa League than any other Arsenal player since the start of last season (5).
Celtic against RB Leipzig
Group B, Celtic Park, 2000 GMT, BT Sport 3
Kevin Kampl (R) and Cristian Gamboa compete for the ball
A defeat here could overwhelm Celtic's hopes of jumping into the knockout stages and face a difficult Leipzig side.
The Bundesliga side are second in the group with two wins out of three, which is a decent return, considering that they opted for the majority of the tournament without the stars Timo Werner, Emil Forsberg and Yussuf Poulsen.
In their only away game in this group, they won 3-1 against Rosenborg, which compensated for a surprising defeat against FC Salzburg.
A victory here will continue to put pressure on the other Red Bull club and they will be well prepared to overtake Salzburg in the overall standings when they meet in Austria at the end of November.
The value is in the cards, with Xavier Estrada Fernandez one of the strictest referees of Spain.
He has shown at least four cards in each club match he has played this season, while in all eight of his eight games he has more than 50 booking points.
At the last meeting of these two teams, there were three yellow cards, while Celtic's defeat against Salzburg previously saw four yellows and a red.
Given the referee's appointment and the importance of the game at this point, there is the possibility of a high number of cards here.
That could mean trouble for Marcel Sabitzer, as the winger has already had four yellow cards this season. He helped win against Celtic, but in three Bundesliga games he was shown cards.
The 24-year-old has committed a total of ten fouls this season, including two in two Europa League starts. Discipline is a weakness of his, despite his talent on the ball, which could earn him again in Scotland.
Best bet: Marcel Sabitzer receives a 5/1 card
Xavier Estrada Fernandez was not afraid to show the cards this season
- RB Leipzig beat Celtic 2-0 in the first round of the match between the two teams.
- Celtic scored only one goal in their last game against Leipzig, the lowest in a Europa League match since December 2015 (against Fenerbahce).
- Celtic have only won two of Europa League's last 16 games (D5 L9), both 1-0 at home to Rosenborg and Zenit St Petersburg.
- RB Leipzig have scored at least two goals in their last four games in the Europa League, despite conceding nine goals in total.
- RB Leipzig's Mateus Cunha has scored in the last two Europa League games, scoring at least seven times more goals than any other Liepzig player in the competition (13).
Dinamo Zagreb against Trnava
Group D, Maksimir Stadium, 2000 BST
Dinamo Zagreb celebrates after a goal against Anderlecht
Zagreb will continue their perfect run in the Europa League when it comes to welcoming Trnava, who is still waiting to qualify for the knockout stages.
The hosts have scored after three games, including a 2-1 win against the Slovak team in the second leg, and could enter here with a win the first place in the group.
My eyes fell immediately on the 11: 1 result that Damian Kadzior scored for the hosts. The 26-year-old already has four goals and eight assists this season, with the majority in the league.
The prize is available due to its limited playing time in the Europa League. The winger still has to start in Europe this season despite coming off the bench against Fenerbahce and Trnava.
He is a talented player in great shape, which is why his prize looks good even if he does not start here and is in the second half.
Kadzior scored a goal opportunity in just 14 minutes despite a comfortable home win over Fenerbahce, scoring two goals in only three minutes of the Croatian Cup competition NK Zelina.
It is also worth noting that in a recent interview with Polish media, he expressed the wish to participate in European competition RMF24, I say, "I want to play in every team match and I want to be number 1 in my position."
This choice carries the greatest risk, since the minutes on the course could be limited. Although he plays with his confidence, he has every chance, even if he starts on the bench.
The fact that Trnava have lost just one of their last eight away players in Europe could also cause Zagreb boss Nenad Bjelica to look to Kadzior to find a way through a stubborn defense.
The price of 11/1 is striking, but it's valuable to support him, even if he falls to the 5/1 mark.
Best bet: Damian Kadzior scores 11/1 at all times
Damian Kadzior (right) in action against Trnavas
- Dinamo Zagreb last time won their only other meeting with Spartak Trnava in the second leg and won 2-1 in Slovakia.
- Including qualifying tournaments, Spartak Trnava have lost just one of their last eight away games in European competitions (W4 D3), although this was the case on his last trip to Fenerbahce (0-2).
- Dinamo Zagreb have won each of their first three games in the Europa League this season. That's more than they have done after six group games in the previous four campaigns of the competition.
- This is Spartak Trnava's second visit to Croatia and the first since July 2004, when they ended with Slaven Belupo Koprivnica 0-0 in the Intertoto Cup.
- Dinamo Zagreb had six different scorers in the Europa League this season (without their own goals), only Sevilla (8) had more in the competition so far.
Odds correct at 1640 GMT (07/11/18)
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