Home Tech McFeely: Fargo will be more like South Sioux City, Neb., If climate...

McFeely: Fargo will be more like South Sioux City, Neb., If climate change is not addressed

You think the good people in South Sioux City, Neb., Have the same satisfaction?

If man does not change the climate curve, we will find out.

Scientists at the University of Maryland's Center for Environmental Science have published an interactive map that allows users to match the expected future climate of one city to another's current climate.

The forecast for 2080 says that the climate of Fargo will then correspond to today's South Sioux City. The city on the northeast corner of Nebraska is located about 325 miles south of Fargo-Moorhead, about 90 miles from Sioux Falls, S.D.

The typical winter in South Sioux City is warmer by 12.3 degrees Fahrenheit and 39.8 percent wetter than winter in Fargo. Summers in South Sioux City are 4.4 degrees warmer and 20.1 percent wetter.

Great! That means the winters in Fargo-Moorhead are getting warmer, shorter, rainier than snow-rich – generally bearable. The golf courses are open one month longer. It's all good, right?

For some maybe. However, scientists have long said that the environmental impact of a warmer planet far outweighs the benefits. Food production, floods and storms will be significantly different. Mosquitoes, ticks, and other pests that transmit diseases can spread to new areas at warm temperatures.

Of course, not only the northern half of the US is affected. Every area of ​​the country will warm up. San Francisco is expected to have a climate like Los Angeles by 2080. Los Angeles will be more like Cabo San Lucas in Mexico. The scientists did not know how to represent the future of the cities on the Gulf Coast, as they did not find a good match in North America.

The work of Matthew Fitzpatrick of the University of Maryland and Robert Dunn of North Carolina State University digests what the US climate will look like in six decades. Humans pump greenhouse gases into the atmosphere at the same speed as today.

"Portland, which averages 155 rainy days a year, will feel like Sacramento, where only 59 days of the year rain, and the New York City of the future will be like today's Jonesboro Ark," the Times said.

Minneapolis-St. Paul says the map will be more like Kansas City – which means extremely mild winters and stuffy, wet summers.

The climate of Grand Forks is similar to that of Cedar Rapids, Iowa. Bismarck and Minot become like Mitchell, S.D.

The climate information that Fitzpatrick and Dunn used is not new, but they tried to make it easy for Americans to understand.

"We do not think most Americans will know what the climate is like in a city in China or India, the goal is to make climate change less abstract and something that people can relate to based on their own experience." Fitzpatrick told the Times.

They compiled 2080 climate projections for 540 cities in North America and considered the average peak temperature, average minimum temperature, and total rainfall for all four seasons. A technique called Climate Analog Mapping was used to adapt the expected future climate of one city to another's current climate.

The annual average temperature of Fargo is 52.5 ° C, compared to 59.6 in South Sioux City, according to the US climate data. The average lows are 31.9 degrees and 37.3. Average rainfall at Fargo is 22.58 inches, while South Sioux City is 27.73 inches.

The strongest contrast is expected in January, the coldest month on average. The average high for Fargo in January is 18 ° C, with an average low of 0. The average high for South Sioux City is 31 and an average low of 10.

This is not so hard.

However, the far-reaching problems caused by this relative heat will be.


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