Nadef: sources, 2023 deficit at 4.5%, space of over 21 billion – Economy

At least 21 billion in deficit resources, over 15 billion to protect families and businesses from the energy emergencybut also revision of the Superbonus and Citizenship Income. The economic maneuver for 2023 is starting to take shape. With the theme of bills that remains at the top of the priorities. Despite the drop in gas tariffs decided by the Energy Authority, the energy crisis has not in fact been overcome, 2023 will still be a difficult year: the government knows this and for this reason it has decided to set up the work for the next decree of aid and then for the maneuver in the name of “great prudence”. Prudence which is also reflected in the new estimates of the Update to the Defwhich arrives on the table of the council of ministers together with the Government Report to Parliament on budgetary adjustment.

In these hours the government is also studying a provision on drills and it is not excluded that it may be presented as early as tomorrow. In the Nadef, which the executive updated with the programmatic framework (the Draghi government had only provided the trend, without the effects of economic policies), the 2023 GDP would be confirmed at + 0.6% (the same figure indicated by the previous government ). A cautious estimate, therefore, despite the higher than expected growth (+ 0.5%) in the third quarter of this year. A figure that instead for the governor of the Bank of Italy Ignazio Visco could lead to a better revision of the estimates for 2023, thanks to a drag effect (the Bank of Italy in the basic scenario foresees a -0.5%) .

On the other hand, as regards the net debt the bar would be raised to 4.5% of GDP: considering that the trend estimate is 3.4% (but it is not excluded that this figure may also be revised), this would open up a space for the next year of over 21 billion. Deficit resources that will be the starting point of the maneuver, the real test of the government, which has less than two months to approve it, under penalty of provisional exercise. “We are racing against time with the budget law”, admits Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni in her first international outing in Brussels. That does not stop repeating the centrality of the emergency bills. In fact, the crisis will not come out before 2024: the government expects 2022 and 2023 to be the most complicated years in terms of the energy emergency and for this reason the economy minister’s approach is marked by great prudence. A sum of no less than 15 billion will be allocated to energy. In the meantime, to try to scrape up new resources, work is being done on a revision of the Superbonus 110% and of the Citizenship Income. Other resources may also come from unspent cohesion funds: it should be 4-5 billion, still under negotiation in Europe, which can be used for expensive energy. A clearer indication of the lower deficit ‘treasury’ is also expected from the Note to the Def, which will allow part of the financing of the next aid package to protect families and businesses until the end of the year, a measure expected in the Council of Ministers next year. week. It is probable that the space of 9.4 billion left by the previous government will expand with an additional dowry of 5-9 billion (the trend deficit for 2022 is currently set at 5.1%, but could fall to 4.6 -4.8%, compared to the 5.6% authorized by the Def). In light of this dowry, the government will ask the Chambers for authorization to use the resources, which will vote next week (the Senate could vote on the 10th). The aid decree should go to 7-10 billion, necessary to extend the tax credits for energy-intensive companies and the petrol discount (expiring on November 18) until the end of the year: other measures are being studied, from the strengthening of the social bonus to one shield for those unable to pay their bills. In the meantime, with an amendment to the dl aid ter, mortgages for young people under 36 are released, even if only for the month of December.

Draft, Palazzo Chigi coordinates policies of the Sea, including seaside
Prime Minister coordinates, directs and promotes government action with reference to maritime policies. He foresees it the draft outline of the legislative decree on the Ministries in the CDM. The provision establishes an interministerial committee for the coordination of maritime policies at the Presidency of the Council, with the task of ensuring coordination and definition of the strategic guidelines of maritime policies. The “enhancement of the maritime state property, with particular reference to bathing concessions”, is one of the strategic guidelines included in the Sea Plan that the Committee draws up every three years.

AlsoThe undersecretary to the presidency of the Council will be able to assume the office of authority delegated to the secret services, provides for the draft of the legislative decree on Ministries introducing an exception to the rule according to which the delegated authority cannot exercise other government functions. With this modification, the undersecretary to the presidency of the Council, Alfredo Mantovano, will be able to receive the proxies on the Services.