One who wants to be the absolute winner in this situation is the Prime Minister’s New Unity Party. It wants to create some kind of aura of power, namely that the prime minister can be an arbitrator above all else. If Golubeva’s resignation is requested, he says “yes”, but the other party must then return his minister.
The New Unity is trying to show who are the main ones, despite having the smallest faction in parliament. They [JV politiķi] in a way, trying to behave as if they had already won the upcoming election.
The second winner, in my opinion, will be the National Union, because, in general, the rationale for Golubeva’s departure is very logical and no one seems to be asking why her resignation is being demanded.
We see that the public is not satisfied with the work of the Minister of the Interior, moreover, the Prime Minister also seems to have said in passing that he would have demanded the resignation of the Minister.
The fact that the Prime Minister is also trying to jump on a departing train, saying that he is not at peace with the work of the Minister of the Interior, only shows that the demand for Golubeva’s resignation is justified.
The loser, of course, is the party “For Development / For!”, Which is already changing the current minister. Representatives of this party claim that they have not asked the Prime Minister to expel the Minister of Economy, which seems even more bizarre, because in that case this political force seems to be weak.
How the change of ministers will affect society depends on who will replace Golubeva and Wittenberg. The question of the Minister of the Interior is, in fact, very important, because the system of the Interior has quite serious tasks to fulfill.
The first, which will not be easy, is the demolition of the Victory Park monument, and in doing so, it is important to maintain peace and order in the city so that something similar to the one in Estonia was not repeated when the so-called Alosha monument was dismantled and riots broke out in Tallinn.
Of course, we also have huge problems in the economy, because it is not clear at the moment what to expect next winter in terms of energy and fuel.
The replacement of two ministers is definitely a crisis in the government, I would not call it simply a “small turbulence”, as the President said. And before the Saeima elections, more than one surprise is expected.
Philip Rajevskypolitical scientist