The 12 certainties for the rest of Round 13

Back for another week, the team gives you an insight into how every game will play out across the weekend.

Labelling something a ‘certainty’ in any sport is fraught with danger.

But we’ll attempt to find some anyway.

Here is what we consider certainties for the six remaining games in Round 13.

See our certainties for Friday night here.

Hawthorn versus Brisbane

James Sicily 25+ touches, 6+ marks

There is absolutely no one more reliable in this Hawthorn squad than their skipper James Sicily.

In the form of his life right now, the star Hawk amassed a monstrous 73 disposals and 27 marks across his last two appearances.

Unfortunately, Sicily was forced to press pause on his dominant season last week, missing the clash against Port Adelaide due to suspension.

However, this will only result in the skipper wanting to make up for lost time with another incredible performance.

Expect him to be among Hawthorn’s best on Saturday.

Joe Daniher 2+ goals, 10+ disposals

Joe Daniher is absolutely flying right now.

Playing some of the best football of his career, the Lions forward is averaging 13.8 touches and 2.7 goals per game, dominating contest after contest.

Daniher is currently riding a multiple goal streak that dates back to Round 6, having booted an impressive 17 majors in that span.

Having fallen short of double digit touches just twice this year, Daniher is also getting more consistently than ever before.

He should hit these marks with ease against the Hawks.

Jack Makeham

Adelaide versus West Coast

Walker to kick 2+ goals

A simple one this one.

Taylor Walker has kicked 13 goals in his last four games, is playing at Adelaide Oval in his 250th game and against an Eagles side missing Tom Barrass.

You can be confident the Crows higher up the ground will be looking for Walker in a matchup where he might only be opposed to the likes of Rhett Bazzro.

He’ll have a big game.

Allen to boot a goal

West Coast’s saviour, Oscar Allen will slot at least one major on Saturday.

The 24-year-old has kicked a goal in every game this year and remarkably sits third in the Coleman Medal race, despite playing for the clear wooden spooners of 2023.

He’ll come up against a young Adelaide backline and will earn his chance to kick a major.

There’s very little else anyone can guarantee about the Eagles.

Seb Mottram

Fremantle versus Richmond

Amiss and Frederick to combine for 3+ goals

Jye Amiss is developing nicely for Fremantle.

In 2023 he has kicked 19 goals in 10 outings, including 11 in his last four courtesy of three hauls of three.

He went goalless in his first appearance of the season, back in Round 2, but has kicked at least a goal a game since.

Similarly, Michael Frederick has booted at least a goal in all bar one of his games this season.

He has tallied 14 in nine overall in 2023 and has kicked two or more on five occasions.

The Dockers duo, while having never kicked a goal against the Tigers between them (Amiss 0 games, Frederick 2 games), are in scoring form and should combine for at least three goals on Saturday night.

Milestone men Baker and Rioli to combine for 40+ disposals

Liam Baker, who plays his 100th game, has been in solid form again this year and is averaging a career-best 22.1 disposals.

He has reached the 20-touch mark in eight of his 12 games this year and has picked up 21 and 22 in his last two against Fremantle.

Daniel Rioli, who plays his 150th game, is also averaging a career-high 23 touches so far in 2023.

His lowest tally this season has been 17 which came in last week’s win over GWS, but he had not been below 20 prior.

Rioli’s record against the Dockers isn’t overly flash, averaging just 15 touches across five outings, but he has picked up 20 and 23 in his last two visits to Optus Stadium (against both Freo and the Eagles).

Based on the above, we’re banking on the Richmond milestone men to amass at least 40 disposals between them.

Andrew Slevison

North Melbourne versus GWS

Sheezel, Wardlaw and Phillips to combine for 50+ disposals, 5+ clearances

Sunday’s clash will see top draftees Harry Sheezel, George Wardlaw and Will Phillips all feature in the midfield predominantly.

Jy Simpkin goes out, as does Hugh Greenwood, both through injury. A negative for any other team, Roos fans instead will be salivating at watching their future midfield go to work and all enjoy plenty of time in the centre bounce rotation.

All three youngsters have proved to be very capable players individually and will together work their way to at least 50 disposals and five or more clearances.

Himmelberg to kick a goal

The Giants have primarily used Harry Himmelberg forward of the ball this year, yet swung him back last week.

But with the omission of Aaron Cadman and Nick Haynes returning to the team, expect him to roll back inside the forward 50.

In games he’s largely spent forward, Himmelberg has enjoyed a goal on every occasion bar two, excluding the game he was injured against St Kilda.

He’ll only take the second or third Roos’ defender on Sunday and should continue his impressive record in front of the sticks.

Seb Mottram

Carlton versus Essendon

Harry McKay, Charlie Curnow and Tom de Koning combine for 5+ goals

Essendon has struggled generally this year to contain opposition key forwards and even with the Blues’ offensive issues, their three key pillars will surely do some damage.

Jordan Ridley played well on Charlie last year, while Brandon Zerk-Thatcher likely gets the matchup on McKay.

Regardless of the result, Carlton’s key forwards will have an impact and could be the difference if it is a low scoring game.

Zach Merrett 30+ disposals

An absolute lock. The Essendon captain has had an incredible year.

The Blues will not put any defensive work into Merrett and on top of that they don’t tend to have the accountability to quell his influence in general play.

Merrett will win the footy freely and should comfortably clear 30+ disposals.

Nic Negrepontis

Melbourne versus Collingwood

Christian Petracca to have 25+ disposals

Melbourne superstar Christian Petracca has found his best form in recent weeks as he’s picked up 30 or more disposals in three of his last five games.

Up against a Collingwood side that won’t tag and without Jordan De Goey in the middle, Petracca should have a big say as the biggest body at most stoppages.

Having picked up 36 touches and kicked a goal in his last meeting against Collingwood, it wouldn’t shock to see him pick up those numbers again.

Nick Daicos to have 30+ disposals

Collingwood’s Nick Daicos is having a spectacular season as the second-year gun averages 34 disposals a game.

So far this season, Daicos has had at least 30 touches in every game that he hasn’t had a run-with opponent and Melbourne are yet to send someone to the young gun in his matches against them so far.

If he’s allowed to free-wheel again, 30 touches should be a minimum for the young star.

Lachlan escort