Tropical Storm Lisa is heading for Central America and southern Mexico

Francis Martin Leon Ayer 3 min
Enhanced infrared image of Tropical Storm Lisa for 1 Nov 2022 06 UTC with predicted track and intensity.

While another area of ​​low pressure is monitored by the NHC further north and over open waters of the subtropical Atlantic.

Lisa: from tropical storm to hurricane, before making landfall

According to the NHC, Lisa will get stronger as she gets closer to Central America in the warm waters of the Caribbean.

At 0600 UTC on November 1, 2022, the center of Lisa was 415 km south-southeast of Grand Cayman and 915 km east of Belize with winds of 75 km/h moving west at 19 km/h with a pressure minimum central of 1004 hPa.

Trajectory, intensity and cone of uncertainty for Lisa. NHC

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for:
* Bay islands
* Coast of Belize from north of Puerto Barrios to south of Chetumal

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for:
* Bay islands
* Honduras from the border with Nicaragua to Punta Castilla

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for:
* Coast of Honduras from west of Punta Castilla west to the Guatemalan border
* Guatemala from the border with Honduras to Puerto Barrios
* Mexico from Chetumal to Punta Herrero.

Interests elsewhere in Central America and Mexico’s Yucatan Peninsula should monitor Lisa’s progress.


Lisa is moving west at 19 km/h and this motion is expected to continue for the next several days. On the forecast track, the center will pass south of the Cayman Islands today, move near or over the Bay Islands of Honduras on Wednesday morning, and approach Belize later on Wednesday.

Key messages for Lisa

very significant rain

Through Thursday night, Lisa is expected to produce significant amounts of rain in parts of Belize, the Bay Islands of Honduras, northern Honduras, Jamaica, Guatemala and the eastern Yucatan Peninsula, parts of the Islas Cayman, eastern Nicaragua.

Precipitation accumulations until November 5, 2022 and every 6 hours for the area where Lisa is developed according to the HRES ECMWF model.

These rains could Flash floods from northern Honduras and eastern Yucatan Peninsula. Strong winds and storm surge are expected in parts of Central America.

Lisa would weaken when it makes landfall off the coast of Belize and enters Guatemala and southern Mexico.

This entry was posted in News on 01 Nov 2022 by Francisco Martín León