President Trump talks about the economy. The question is, why does he talk about something else?
Whether Trump deserves it or not, the economy is strong. The unemployment rate remained stable at 3.7 percent in October at a 50-year low and consumer confidence reached an 18-year high this year.
According to Sunday's Washington Post ABC News poll, Americans' optimism about the economy is the highest in two decades. Only two-thirds of Americans rate the economy as good or excellent, as do 71 percent of registered voters.
If the election weeks are tight, most presidents would just talk about it. Trump is not a president.
Post reporters Dan Balz and Scott Clement reported on the new poll results that Tuesday's election "is a test of the tension between presidential perceptions and economic perceptions. Seldom has there been such a great distance between views on the economy and the ratings of a president as this year. "
This is true. Of the last 13 presidents, seven enjoyed periods in which the economy was doing as well as it has now. However, when the economy boomed for these presidents – George W. Bush, Bill Clinton, Richard Nixon, Lyndon B. Johnson, Dwight D. Eisenhower and Harry Truman – most enjoyed levels of consent of around 60 percent. Trump, however, hovered in the low 40s. The only president was Truman, who was deeply unpopular at the end of the presidency due to the Cold War.
(Truman, by the way, held the same contempt for the press as Trump did.) When a Swiss music critic wrote an unfavorable review of Truman's vocalist competition, Truman wrote it in person and said, "It seems to me you're frustrated. An old man who wishes he had If you write a poppy in the back of the paper, work on assuming that you are out of sight and that you have at least four of your ulcers at work. One day, I hope you If that happens you'll need a new nose, lots of black eye beef steak and maybe a supporter below! Pegler, a gutter snipe, is next to you a gentleman accepting this statement as a worse offense than thinking about your ancestry. ")
There are diverging opinions about whether Trump is strategic or just unfiltered, but in both cases, his focus on immigration and anxiety in the final days of the campaign, which may well prove to be an effective motivator for his base, has reminded his critics of what they are doing do not like him
For a number of Republican candidates, Trump's latest rhetoric on the caravan of migrants heading to the southern border is helpful in helping Trump loyalists vote. But it has taken all the oxygen out of the other Republicans, who would prefer it if it kept reminding voters of how well the economy is doing.
The thing is, he obviously knows exactly what he is should do. At a rally in Florida on Saturday night for Gubernatorial candidate Rick Scott, Trump said:
Some fake messages said: I watched, "Why does not he talk about the economy? Why is he talking about immigration and what about the caravan? Why is he talking about the caravan, if he has perhaps the best economic figures in the history of our country? "And we can talk about the economy, but we know how well we are with the economy and we need to solve problems. I am looking for problems to solve.
Even Senator Ted Cruz (R-Tex.), Who is in a sober repeat race against Democrat Beto O Rourke, has tempered immigration rhetoric and increased the number of jobs in his last election weekend. "We have a good cause," says the Dallas Morning News.
Now Republicans have tracked down former President Barack Obama, reminding voters that the economy had recovered from a recession during its presidency and the unemployment rate steadily declined before handing over the keys to the Oval Office.
"So, if the Republicans start talking about how big the economy is, where did you start? It did not start there, "Obama said Friday at a rally for Gubernatorial candidate Stacey Abrams. "You start talking about how many jobs we've created. We have created more jobs in the last 21 months than in the first 21 months. What are they talking about? "
But maybe it does not matter in this election year that Trump diverts attention from the economy.
What will motivate people to vote on the polls on Tuesday could be the deep unease felt by both sides about the country's future. Although Americans feel economically safe, they do not feel safe. There is a noticeable tension in the air with the recent mass killings of innocent people in a grocery store, a synagogue and a yoga studio last week. The Democrats are afraid to repeat the mistakes of the year 2016. Republicans fear the loss of control over Congress and the ability to set the legislative agenda.
In this election, it may not be the economy, stupid.