Winners and losers from election night 2018

Winners and losers from election night 2018

The 2018 election is nearly in the books: Democrats have taken the House, and Republicans want to keep the Senate. And there is, and will be, plenty of shouting.

Below, some winners and losers.

Winners

Democrats

Republicans wants to pitch this as a split decision because they are gain seats in the Senate. It's not; the Senate map what highly favorable to them, meaning Democrats just took over a chamber of Congress, and that's a big thing for them, period.

Their math when it comes to winning the elections in Washington, DC.

Speaker (?) Nancy Pelosi

Good things (probably) come to those who wait. It's rare that a former speaker sticks for as long as Pelosi did after losing the gavel in 2010. And it was especially, that she did, given how tough it would be for Democrats to win the House this decade.

But she kept raising big money for her side, and she stuck around long enough. Now you just need to make sure there are enough Democrats willing to vote. It wants to be tough to stop, though.

Mitch McConnell

Republicans can keep confirming President Trump's judges. And it wants to be easier now, given the GOP's majority.

Oh, and the bonus for Senate Majority Leader: Democrat Amy McGrath's Loss in Kentucky's 6th District. McConnell's seat in 2020.

Florida's felons

Amendment 4 passed in Florida, restoring voting rights for convicted felons. That's both true of a civil rights standpoint – especially given that Florida Ballistic Initiatives need to clear a 60 percent threshold – and from an electoral one. About 9 percent of the population-age population in Florida is composed of felons and many of them are racial minorities. That could change elections (likely in Democrats' favor) for years to come.

Democratic diversity

Colorado's Jared Polis became the first openly gay man elected governor, and Democrats elected two Muslim women (Michigan's Rashida Tlaib and Minnesota's Ilhan Omar) and two Native American women (Kansas's Sharice Davids and New Mexico's Deb Haaland), among other firsts. They may set the record for women elected.

John James

Sen. Debbie Stabenow (D-Mich.) As the GOP was holding the state's governor's seat. As of early Wednesday morning, he was losing by just seven points.

James, an American veteran and conservative businessman, did not get much national backing this time. He might in a future run.

Medicaid expansion

Ballot Initiatives passed in three states – Nebraska, Idaho and Utah – to expand Medicaid eligibility under Obamacare, and a fourth state – Kansas – elected a Democratic governor who replaces a Republican who previously nixed to expansion supported by the Republican-controlled state legislature.

Sherrod Brown 2020

Sherry Brown (D-Ohio) Rep. James B. Renacci, Ohio's governor's race. And then, in his victory speech, Brown left little doubt he's eyeing the next prize: a presidential run.

"Let our country – our nation's citizens, our Democratic Party, my fellow elected officials all over the country – let them all have their eyes on the heartland, to the midwest, to our Great Lakes state," Brown said. He concluded: "That's the message coming out of Ohio in 2018, and that's the blueprint for our nation in 2020." He's running?

Beto 2020 (and beyond)

No, things did not go according to plan for Texas Democrats' new supposed savior. They have not won a statewide race in 24 years – the longest search streak in the country – and that did not change Tuesday.

But Rep. Beto O'Rourke (D-Tex.) Did raise a metric ton of money, and even a close loss (he trailed by just 3 points with 94 percent of precincts in) is likely to keep him on the radar. Given the very long list of Democrats expected to run for president, why not the guy who just made Texas competitive? He's got to be tempted.

Losers

Beto 2018, and its donors

A loss is a loss, and we should not pretend it's not. O'Rourke's candidacy – and for the people who spend their hard-earned cash, a record worth $ 70 million worth of it. Democrats have a way of focusing on shiny objects, and this shiny object did not prevail Tuesday.

"It's the economy, stupid"

The Trump era has forced to revalue many political assumptions, and we can now add this Clinton era adage to the list. 3.7 percent and 8 in 10 voters rate the economy, but the party in power loses a chamber.

Republicans, but it's not enough to save them, either because of external factors or because Trump is so focused on other things.

Trump's immigration strategy

It's fashionable to say that Trump's fear-based, anti-caravan strategy was ugly, but probably effective. And it may have been in Senate races in clearly red territory. But it did not go to the house, which was the more endangered chamber. Exit polls seen about half of voters considered Trump's rhetoric as "too tough."

In the end, it seemed Trump was just doing what he knew, rather than what would save one-half of Congress.

Voting against Kavanaugh

Joe Donnelly (D-Ind.) And Heidi Heitkamp (DN.D.) cast their vote against Kavanaugh's Supreme Court nomination – after voting for Neil M. Gorsuch – while Sen. Joe Manchin III (DW.Va.) voted for Kavanaugh and did just fine in the Trumpiest state in the country.

Again and again Donnelly and Heitkamp both underperformed expectations – and Donnelly badly like that. Perhaps those votes have been conserved by the big downside of having a Democrat in the Senate.

Democrats' next generation of stars

It's not just O'Rourke losing a high profile, tough race. Andrew Gillum Lost for Florida Governor. Stacey Abrams appears likely to lose in Georgia's governor's race without even making a runoff. And Randy Bryce, The Man Democrats Fell in Love With A House Paul D Ryan (Ryan Ironman), Lost in the open-seat race for Ryan's seat by double digits.

These might have been the four buzziest Democratic candidates – in fact, they were the four cited by Esquire – and they all came up short.

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