Croatian astronomer Korado Korlević warns that humanity faces a looming demographic collapse rather than war. He predicts the global population could plummet to two billion by the end of the century, driven by a widespread societal shift away from parenthood and the responsibilities inherent in raising children.
The Demographic Warning from Korado Korlević
Korado Korlević, a prominent Croatian astronomer and educator, has issued a stark assessment of the future of the human species. In a recent appearance on the television program Nedeljom u 2—a segment host Aleksandar Stanković highlighted as one of the most-watched of the past season—Korlević argued that the most significant threat to humanity is not military conflict, but a rapid, self-inflicted decline in birth rates.
According to Korlević, the current generation is increasingly prioritizing lifestyle choices that exclude child-rearing. He noted that many people now find it easier to focus on personal travel, professional pursuits, or leisure activities, such as video games, rather than accepting the long-term obligations that come with parenthood. This cultural shift, he suggests, has brought Homo sapiens to a precarious point where the species is beginning to die out without any external adversary forcing the decline.
Projections for a Shrinking Global Population
The astronomer’s outlook for the next century is grim. While global population growth has been the norm for centuries, Korlević asserts that the world is approaching a definitive turning point. He expects a noticeable downward trend to begin in approximately fifty years.
Under what he describes as the most pessimistic projections, the global population could dwindle to roughly two billion people by the year 2100. This estimate assumes the absence of major wars, placing the entire burden of this population contraction on current and future demographic behaviors rather than geopolitical violence.
Geopolitical Shifts and the Changing Global Order
Beyond his demographic concerns, Korlević addressed the current state of global affairs. He observed that the international landscape is currently undergoing a period of significant transformation. As existing crises reshape the global order, he noted that the world is moving toward the establishment of new centers of power.
While he identifies the decline in birth rates as the primary existential threat, his analysis of international relations suggests that existing conflicts, including those in the Middle East, are symptomatic of a broader, ongoing transition in how global authority is distributed.
Sources: Blic.rs.
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