NFL Combine Shakes Up Draft Predictions: Risers, Fallers, and a Quarterback Surge

Indianapolis, IN – The annual NFL Scouting Combine is underway, and the reverberations are already being felt throughout the draft landscape. What was once considered a relatively predictable draft class is rapidly becoming a fluid and uncertain one, with player evaluations shifting based on on-field performance and, crucially, the often-decisive impact of team interviews.

The Combine’s Enduring Influence on the NFL Draft

For years, the NFL Combine has served as a critical inflection point in the draft process. It’s the first opportunity for teams to assess prospects in a controlled environment, blending athletic testing with intensive interviews designed to gauge character, football IQ, and overall fit. While the emphasis on pure athleticism has diminished since the “workout warrior” era of the 2000s and early 2010s, the Combine remains a pivotal stage for players to elevate their stock – or see it plummet.

Recent history underscores this point. Last year’s Combine saw James Pearce Jr.’s draft position fall from a projected top-10 pick to No. 26 following concerns raised during team interviews, as reported by ESPN. Conversely, Jaxson Dart experienced a significant rise, climbing from a late-round projection to the 25th overall selection. These examples demonstrate that the Combine isn’t merely about physical prowess; it’s about demonstrating the intangible qualities that teams value.

Updated 2026 NFL Mock Draft: Post-Combine Edition

Here’s a revised mock draft, reflecting the current landscape and anticipating potential shifts based on Combine performances and interviews:

Combine Standouts: Players Poised for a Rise

Several prospects are generating significant buzz in Indianapolis, and their performances could dramatically alter their draft stock.

Quarterback Movement: Ty Simpson’s Ascent

While Fernando Mendoza is widely considered the top quarterback in this class, Ty Simpson is making a compelling case for himself. His poise, accuracy, and impressive interview skills have teams re-evaluating their quarterback boards. The possibility of Simpson landing with the Los Angeles Rams at No. 13, potentially as a long-term successor to Matthew Stafford, is gaining traction. The parallels between Simpson and Stafford’s pre-draft profile are striking, and Sean McVay’s system could be the perfect environment for his development.

Keep an eye on Cole Payton (North Dakota State) as well. Previously a late-round prospect, Payton has generated positive momentum with strong performances and intriguing feedback from team meetings. He could potentially climb into the second or third round.

Caleb Downs: A Top-10 Lock or a Potential Faller?

The safety position has seen a resurgence in value in recent years, with players like Kyle Hamilton (Ravens) and Nick Emmanwori (Seahawks) proving their impact. Caleb Downs possesses the potential to be the next star at the position, showcasing exceptional all-around skills. However, concerns about his discipline as a pass rusher could give some teams pause. Currently projected to the Bengals at No. 10, Downs’ Combine performance and interview could determine whether he solidifies his top-10 status or slips down the draft board.

Jeremiyah Love: Running Back on the Rise

Jeremiyah Love is quickly becoming a coveted commodity. Currently projected to the Chiefs at No. 9, his stock is on the rise, mirroring the recent ascent of players like Ashton Jeanty. With a significant drop-off in talent at the running back position after Love, several teams with early-round needs could be tempted to pull the trigger, potentially pushing him even higher than anticipated. The NFL’s official draft page provides further analysis on running back prospects.

What impact will the Combine have on the value of wide receivers this year? And will any smaller-school prospects significantly improve their draft stock with standout performances?

Frequently Asked Questions About the NFL Scouting Combine