End of nine weeks of consecutive decreases in Covid-19 cases in Madrid. The capital has detected a generalized rebound of the disease in more than half of its districts during the last days of June. Up to 13 of the 21 that make up the capital register more positive for coronavirus, according to the weekly data bulletin provided by the Community of Madrid.
Contagions soar in the Mediterranean with the arrival of summer: the data, municipality by municipality
At the moment, the average incidence of the pandemic stands at 90 cases per 100,000 inhabitants in 14 days in the capital, compared to 86 last week. The rebound is still small, although it represents a change in trend in the continuous declines that have occurred since shortly after Easter. The districts with the highest rate are Barajas (142), Arganzuela (131) and Chamberí (130), although the greatest increase in the last seven days has occurred in Hortaleza, where it has gone from 67 to 114.
This is the evolution of the pandemic in the capital, by district, during the last months:
At the bottom of the list, the districts with the fewest cases are Villa de Vallecas (51), Villaverde (65) and Vicálvaro (68), still very far from the areas with the highest incidence.
By basic health zones, two areas have returned to the high-risk zone (more than 150 new cases per 100,000 inhabitants). The highest rate is registered in that of Virgen del Cortijo (183), followed by Sanchinarro (153), both in the district of Hortaleza. Its high level of cases contrasts with those recorded in other areas such as Almendrales, in Usera, which almost a year ago was at very high levels and this week has registered a rate of 9, the lowest in all of Madrid in many months.
Young people accumulate the most new cases
The upturn in cases could be partly conditioned by the macro outbreak caused in Mallorca several days ago on trips by high school students. More than a thousand positives associated with a single focus, of which half would belong to the Community of Madrid. The Ministry of Health has not detailed which educational centers the infected belong to, so it is not possible to know exactly if the upswings this week in Madrid are associated with this event.
Statistics at the regional level indicate that most of the positives are accumulating in the age group that goes from 15 to 29 years, with an incidence in the last week of 128. The group of 30-39 years, which is beginning to be vaccinated, there are 52.4 new cases per 100,000 inhabitants, while the rate in the 40-49 group reaches 38.3. The oldest, with a complete pattern for months, present incidences of 10.2 (over 80 years) and 6.8 (group between 70 and 79 years). Children (5 to 14 years old) have an incidence of 31.
What will the trend be in the coming weeks? Given this changing panorama, it is difficult to predict, although everything seems to indicate that as vaccination progresses, infections will decrease. In addition, the arrival of the holidays will cause mobility in Madrid to decrease due to the escape of its inhabitants to summer areas, which also favors a lower transmissibility of the coronavirus.
In any case, as of today and due to the trend that is registered in a fairly generalized way in the capital of Spain, the objective of reaching the low risk level due to Covid-19, marked by WHO at a rate of 50.